Trading is a fundamental aspect of the cryptocurrency space. As exciting as crypto trading is, it is also highly risky and complex. This section gives an introductory guide to the various aspects of cryptocurrency trading.
Were BlockFi’s assets held on FTX exchange, which is now bankrupt, and its funds hacked?BlockFi provides lending services to clients across the globe. In our previous article, we reported that BlockFi has paused its client withdrawals since 11th November 2022 due to lack of clarity” on the status of FTX.com, FTX US and Alameda.
Does BlockFi have exposure to FTX?
Shortly after BlockFi halted client withdrawals, the FTX Group filed for bankruptcy. Worse, FTX had been hacked and over US$600 million in funds were stolen. A lot of these funds belonged to FTX exchange users such as retail investors and even blockchain companies. Therefore, rumours have been swirling that BlockFi has substantial assets held in FTX.
On 14th November 2022, BlockFi issued an update addressing the rumours that a majority of its assets were held on FTX. Admitting they have “significant exposure” to FTX and their associated corporate entities.
On 28th November 2022, and during BlockFi’s bankruptcy hearing, the company revealed it has US$355 million stuck on FTX. On the other hand, Further, Alameda Research, an associated company of FTX, owes US$680 million to BlockFi.
On 28th November 2022, BlockFi also sued Emergent Fidelity Technologies, a company owned by FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). The lawsuit seeks SBF’s shares in Robinhood that were used as collateral as part of a pledge agreement.
Will BlockFi be able to recover any funds from FTX?
According to BlockFi’s 14th November 2022 update, BlockFi “…will continue to work on recovering all obligations owed to BlockFi.” BlockFi, however, expects there will be delays in the recovery of assets from FTX. This is because FTX, FTX.US and Alameda have filed for bankruptcy.
However, with the news that BlockFi has also filed for bankruptcy, it is starting to become uncertain whether BlockFi will be able to recover everything it has stuck on FTX.
BlockFi assured users they were independent of FTX
Previously, BlockFi Founder and COO Flori Marquez have assured users via Twitter that it is an independent business entity from FTX. Although, BlockFi does have a US$400 million line of credit from FTX.US (and not FTX.com). To learn more about the difference between FTX.com and FTX.us, check out our article- Key Similarities and Differences Between FTX.com and FTX.us
Twitter post from BlockFi Founder and COO Flori Marquez
What’s next for BlockFi?
On 28th November 2022, BlockFi filed for bankruptcy. During its first hearing, BlockFi expressed it intends to seek approval to restore withdrawals from BlockFi wallets. However, no Court application has been made yet and the Court has not decided whether customers will be allowed to make withdrawals.
BlockFi’s next bankruptcy hearing is presently scheduled for 9th January 2023 at 10:00 EST.
FTX EXCHANGE (INCLUDING FTX INTERNATIONAL AND FTX.US) ARE NO LONGER IN OPERATION
Both exchanges have filed for bankruptcy. Subsequently, the exchange was “hacked” and more than US$600 million worth of cryptocurrencies drained. The hacker is strongly rumoured to be a former FTX employee. For more about how this story unfolded and the latest news, check out these articles:
Celsius Network was one of the largest gateways to crypto with $864 million worth of venture capital raised. They also had over $3 billion worth of funds held in custody for 1.4 million customers. Offering attractive yields, simple to use UI, and promises of security and transparency, it was truly the perfect crypto on-ramp for less experienced crypto users. They abstracted away the complexities of DeFi (Decentralized Finance), and offered only pure and straightforward DeFi yields.
However, their questionable asset management practices have recently come to light. Celsius Network’s risk management strategy heavily relied on continued bullish crypto narratives pushing prices upwards. Which left them unprepared for significant drawdowns. They also engaged in “degenerate trading” strategies which put them at risk of liquidation and potential bankruptcy.
Some believe Celsius will be another big platform to collapse during this bear market, potentially pushing crypto prices even lower than before. And likely resulting in a further liquidation cascade that could destroy protocols, VCs, investment funds, and others.
For another perspective on the situation on Celsius Network and how events may unfold, check out Michael’s analysis:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGbCX-AdiY4
Celsius Network – Then And Now
What is Celsius Network?
Celsius Network ($CEL) is a one-stop shop fintech app that offers the ease-of-use benefits of CeFi (Centralized Finance) with the best DeFi offerings. They are a centralized DeFi platform allowing users to deposit funds into custodial wallets on the platform. They also offered a range of DeFi services. These included token swaps, high yields on stablecoins and cryptocurrencies and crypto-backed lending and borrowing.
Celsius had a straightforward dashboard, free inter-account crypto transfers and a variety of DeFi features. Hence, Celsius managed to offer a truly incredible product to over a million customers, attracting industry respect and venture capital. So what went wrong?
The Demise of Celsius Network?
Celsius’ demise can be summed up in three parts. Firstly, its problems really started to surface during the LUNA collapse, then followed by a slow unravelling of Celsius’ overleveraged. Finally, poorly planned out WBTC and ETH/stETH positions led them to a complete lockdown of their platform.
LUNA/UST Giga Yields
Luna, through its Anchor protocol, promised a “risk-free” 20% interest on their USD-pegged stablecoin, UST. This was a highly popular product right up until its collapse. However, Celsius was also taking advantage of these high yields, which allowed them to offer high yields to customers while taking some profit.
Although this was denied by Celsisus’ founder, on-chain investigations by firms such as The Block Research, Hoptrail, and Nansen revealed that Celsius was staking up to $535 million worth of UST on Anchor protocol. Reportedly, prior to the full depeg of UST, Celsius managed to withdraw their funds with minimal damage. This left the Terra ecosystem with half a billion-dollar hole in their pockets. It seems that Celsius managed to get out of that situation mostly unscathed. However, this should’ve served as a red flag that indicated what kind of risk Celsius is willing to take on.
WBTC as DAI collateral
This one’s also pretty straightforward. Celsius used customer’s WBTC (wrapped BTC on Ethereum) as collateral to borrow DAI on the Maker protocol. This is so they could stake the DAI stablecoin for very favorable yields. Everything had been going great until BTC prices rapidly tumbled after the UST collapse. As prices tumbled, it was cheaper to keep adding collateral instead of paying off their DAI debt, losing some capital and the DAI yields. This did this likely in hope for a trend reversal or possibly a short-lived BTC relief rally. However, customers’ funds were subsidising this collateral.
stETH & locked ETH
Celsius offered their customers an attractive <8% yield on ETH while the best ETH staking deal one could get was by staking their ETH on the Ethereum PoS Beacon chain, which offers ~4.2% yield at best. So how could they possibly deliver such an incredible deal for their customers?
The solution was staked ETH (stETH) which is a liquid ETH derivative offered by Lido Finance. stETH is a fully collateralized representation of ETH staked on the Ethereum PoS Beacon chain. After the Merge, when users can withdraw staked ETH, 1 stETH will be redeemable for 1 ETH. This allows anyone to earn a yield on ETH offered by the Beacon chain without running the staking infrastructure. But, stETH’s dollar value is not pegged to ETH’s dollar-value. Also, stETH cannot be redeemed for ETH.
So Celsius was doing three things with their customer’s ETH to generate the exorbitant yields:
Lending out ETH and earning interest on DeFi protocols (27% of their total ETH);
Swapping them for stETH to generate ETH staking yields and at the same time lending out stETH to provide liquidity and earn interest on Curve Finance, a decentralized crypto exchange. (44%); and
Staking ETH on Beacon chain, rendering it illiquid for at least a year or whenever The Merge happens and the ETH gets unlocked. (27%).
The current issue Celsius is facing is the fact that while swapping an equivalent amount of ETH for stETH, stETH currently is not trading for the same dollar value as its ETH equivalent. This is due to several reasons. As a result, they’re currently in possession of roughly $0.94 for every $1 worth of ETH owed to their customers. On paper. In reality, it’s much worse than that. Celsius holds ~445k stETH, currently valued at $540 million and cannot all be swapped for ETH on the Curve Finance pool due to lack of liquidity.
So, Celsius was lending 27% of their ETH on DeFi, and swapped 44% of their ETH for stETH. However this stETH is now worth less than ETH. stETH also cannot even be fully exchanged for ETH. As a result, most of Celsius’ ETH is illiquid.
Celsius Liquidity Crisis
The situation is getting direr by the day for Celsius. Whilst BTC and ETH prices were tumbling, their ETH liquidity was drying up. Hence they had to top up their WBTC collateral several times from 22k all the way down to 14k to avoid margin calls.
To do this, they’ve put all withdrawals, swaps, and transfers between accounts on hold since 12th June 2022. Thereby completely locking users out of their assets. This was to prevent a bank run, which would’ve completely drained Celsius of their holdings.
Celsius files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
On 13th July 2022, Celsius Network filed for bankruptcy in the Southern District Court of New York. In its announcement that Celsius had filed for Chapter 11 protection. The filing of Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection means that Celsius can continue operating its business and restructure its obligations.
The Company also states it has US$167m cash on hand to support operations during the restructuring processes. It hopes that through the process, it would stabilize its business to maximize value for all its stakeholders.
Will Celsius users get their cryptocurrencies back?
Celsius’ Directors justified its earlier decision to pause trading and withdrawals to “… stabilise its business and protect its customers”. This is to prevent customers who did not quickly withdraw their funds from being left waiting for Celsius to come up with the liquidity.
In an interview with Cointelegraph, Danny Talwar, Head of Tax at Koinly expressed concerns that Celsius may be like Mt.Gox. Mt. Gox collapsed in 2014 and users still have not seen any of their funds returned.
Celsius has not made any announcement as to whether or not they will reopen the platform to allow withdrawals. In their blog post on 14th July 2022, Celsius stated that:
“Most account activity will be paused until further notice. Withdrawals, Swap, and transfers between accounts will remain paused, and rewards will stop accruing as of the date of the filing. Celsius is not requesting authority to allow customer withdrawals at this time.”
Looking forward, Celsius “…intend[s] to put forward a plan that restores activity across the platform, returns value to customers, and provides choices.”
Celsius lawyers: Users gave up legal rights to their cryptocurrencies
Celsius Network’s lawyers stated that users with Celsius’ Earn and Borrow accounts gave up the rights to their crypto under its terms of service.
According to a tweet from Kadhim Shubber, a Financial Times reporter, Celsius Network’s lawyers stated the recovery plan would involve HODLing. They believe customers would be interested in hodl-ing throughout this bear market. Then they would realise their recovery when the market recovers.
Celsius to run out of money in October/November 2022?
Celsius was initially expected to run out of money in October 2022 according to their Weekly Cash Flow Forecast filed with the Court. However, an updated Forecast filed on 6th September 2022 shows that the Company will still have US$42 million in cash left by the end of November 2022.
Celsius weekly cash flow forecast
Profiting off the Celsius collapse? What is #CelShortSqueeze?
Twitter hashtag #CelShortSqueeze has been trending even before Celsius Network filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. #CelShortSqueeze appears to have been set up as a grassroots movement by $CEL token supporters or traders liquidated by $CEL backed loans.
The #CelShortSqueeze movement is an attempt by Celsius supporters to make it harder to short the $CEL token. This is by encouraging others to buy $CEL on exchanges such as FTX or Uniswap, and send the tokens to private wallets. The purpose of this is to take the $CEL tokens out of circulation of centralized exchanges. Hence spot short traders intending to borrow $CEL from exchanges are forced to use decentralized exchanges. This is because on decentralized exchanges, users can set the sell prices.
The #CelShortSqueeze movement seems to be effective in propping up $CEL token prices at or over 80 cents. This is despite the news of Celsius filing for bankruptcy protection. Whilst prices initially dipped to 48 cents right after news of the bankruptcy came out, #CelShortSqueeze supporters helped bring back prices to 80 cents and over.
In a win for #CelShortSqueeze supporters, prices of $CEL pumped to $1.42 on 29th July 2022, the highest in almost 1 month.
The #CelShortSqueeze movement shows what retail investors can be capable of when they band together through the power of social media. There is a lot of uncertainty right now as to what will happen to the $CEL token as Celsius Network is figuring out how to restructure and rescue the company. The restructuring process can take years and it is unknown when Celsius will re-open withdrawals to customers. So Celsius holders are certainly hoping that the #CelShortSqueeze movement does not lose steam until then.
Celsius seeks to open withdrawals for some customers
On 1st September 2022, Celsius filed a Court motion to open certain accounts for customers to withdraw their funds. However, Celsius’ motion only applies to Custody and Withold Accounts and for assets with a value of US$7,575 or less. Celsius’ Custody and Withold Accounts are basically storage wallets and users still retain legal ownership of their cryptocurrencies. In contrast, Celsius’ Earn and Borrow Accounts offer borrowing and annual crypto earnings services. If the Court grants this motion, around US$50 million (out of the US$225 million held in the accounts) will be released to customers.
Whilst some have reacted positively to this news, there are others who point out that this is hardly fair to affected Celsius users. Commentators have pointed out that in any event, under US law, Celsius is unable to avoid transferring sums under this amount if creditors so request.
Celsius co-founder declares shares “worthless“
Daniel Leon, one of the co-founders of Celsius is seeking a Court declaration that his equity in the Company is “worthless”. Leon is a substantial shareholder of the Company and holds 32,600 common shares. Shareholders make these declarations during bankruptcy proceedings when they do not think they will receive any further distribution for their holdings. The result of this declaration is that the shares can be used as a tax write-off.
Celsius will be revived as Kelvin- a crypto custody service?
According to an announcement at a Celsius employee meeting on 8th September 2022, CEO Alex Mashinsky and Head of Innovation and Chief Compliance Officer Oren Blonstein plan to revive Celsius. The plan is to launch a project called Kelvin, which will store users’ cryptocurrencies and charge fees for specific transactions.
This is a departure from Celsius’ existing business model, where Celsius does not charge any fees for transactions, withdrawals, origination, or early termination.
Latest: Celsius leaks customers’ personal data-where is the info now?
On 5th October 2022, Celsius filed publicly available court documents revealing personal data on thousands of its customers. The court documents filed by Celsius revealed, among others, customers’ names, and transaction information such as transaction amounts, times, types, and descriptions. According to Henry de Valence, Founder of Penumbra Labs, the information leaked by Celsius is sufficient to “dox all the on-chain activity” of any Celsius user by matching the dates and amounts to the blockchain transaction data.
However, this saga is far from over, as the customers’ data has recently been made publicly available on a website called Celsiusnetworth.com. The website lets people search the names of Celsius users, along with their cryptocurrency holdings on Celsius. It also included a leaderboard that listed which customers suffered the greatest losses.
Celsius executives and founders withdrew nearly US$35 million before withdrawals were frozen
As a result of Celsius’ court filings, it has been revealed that its executives had already withdrawn funds totaling nearly US$35 million in the weeks before withdrawals on the platform were frozen. Filings revealed that ex-CEO and co-founder Alex Mashinsky withdrew around US$10 million from the Celsius platform in May 2022. Meanwhile, co-founder and former chief strategy officer Daniel Leon withdrew around US$7 million, and current chief technology officer Nuke Goldstein around US$550,000.
Celsius paused its withdrawals weeks later in June 2022 before filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in July.
A spokesperson for Alex Mashinsky states that the US$10 million withdrawal was planned even before Celsius intended to pause withdrawals, as the funds were used to pay taxes. Also, Mashinsky’s family still had US$44 million worth of cryptocurrencies frozen on the Celsius platform.
Conclusion
What becomes of Celsius going forward is unclear. However, what is clear is that time and time again we get to witness the extreme importance of the age-old rules of crypto – be wary if something seems too good to be true, and never put in more than what you can afford to lose.
It is easy to become swept up in the hype, so doing your own research is incredibly important. Thinking critically and understanding the fundamentals can help you avoid a lot of heartache in the future.
All financial markets experience different cycles and market conditions. Since crypto asset prices also go through prolonged periods of bullish and bearish movements, the crypto market is no exception. The most dreaded market phase for crypto traders and investors is a declining or bearish phase, especially one that sustains itself for a long time.
General sentiments regarding the crypto and other financial markets are bleak during these periods, making many investors and crypto enthusiasts understandably worried. However, many traders still find ways to make money during unfavourable market conditions. To earn when the market is down, it is important to understand the concept of a bear market.
Check out our video comparing the crypto bear market in 2018 vs 2022, and how you can still profit during this period of downward price trends:
Table of Contents
What Is a Crypto Bear Market?
A bear or bearish market is a prolonged period characterized by falling prices of at least 20% across major crypto assets. Individual crypto assets may also be in a bear market if they experience a decline of 20% or more over an extended period. A bear market may occur due to widespread pessimism and negative market sentiment, as well as other internal or external factors. Additionally, a weak or slowing economy, pandemics, wars, and geopolitical crises are also characteristics that may cause a bear market.
7 Ways to Make Money and Profit in a Crypto Bear Market
Even when the market is in an overall downtrend, the blockchain and DeFi sector offers various ways for crypto traders and investors to still emerge profitable and victorious. Here are a few lucrative options that crypto investors and traders can utilize to make money and remain afloat in a bearish market phase.
Yield Farming
Yield Farming is a cryptocurrency investment method that allows investors to earn interest and rewards on their crypto assets. With yield farming, investors lend their crypto assets to DeFi platforms that hold these assets in a liquidity pool for a specified period. These pools provide liquidity to decentralized finance platforms that use the funds and ensure that the depositors earn some interest over time.
For those who are new, check out our video on the top yield farming mistakes all newbies make:
Crypto Staking
Staking is the process of earning rewards by locking up funds on a blockchain. Although similar to yield farming, this process does not use tokens for loans. Instead, Proof-of-Stake (PoS) blockchains use staking to validate transactions on their networks.
Users who stake more tokens get higher priority to validate transactions and earn more funds. Earnings from asset staking vary between platforms and depend on the governance community in each case. Before getting involved in yield farming or staking, always do your own research and make sure the returns are sustainable, as many times, there are ludicrous and unsustainable offerings that result in users losing all of their funds.
Crypto Savings and Crypto Lending
Savings and lending are good ways to make passive income from crypto during a bear market. These methods involve storing assets on a platform to earn simple interest on the deposits. Traders should remember that potential earnings mainly depend on the amount stored. Again, do your own research before allocating any capital to these types of platforms.
Forks and Airdrops
Altcoin forks and airdrops are also effective ways to make money in a bear market. A fork happens when users vote to diverge a blockchain and form another due to a material disagreement. This process leads to an airdrop where holders of the old token get the new tokens to participate in the forked blockchain. Depending on the value of the forked token, users can earn quite a bit by simply holding newly acquired tokens. (Modafinil)
Margin Trading
One of the most common ways to make money in a down-trending market is margin trading. This method is simply the process of trading crypto assets with funds from brokers. Margin trading allows users to trade with more money than they have in their accounts, thereby increasing potential profit. Although margin trading is an effective way to earn in a bear market, this method is only recommended to experienced crypto traders, as you can lose the entirety of your initial capital if the market moves in the opposite direction of your call.
Analyze Smaller DeFi Projects
A new DeFi project may have a low valuation after launch, but show huge promise in the long run. Crypto enthusiasts who take the time to analyze and research these projects can likely find and profit from the right ones. Even in a bear market, crypto investors who get in early enough tend to make gains from the increase in the asset prices of these crypto projects.
Dollar-Cost Averaging
One of the most effective ways to thrive in a bear market is to buy the dip. With dollar-cost averaging, investors buy assets at consistent intervals and properly observe market conditions before reinvesting. Since the cryptocurrency market’s volatility is unpredictable, it is nearly impossible to predict the lowest point before a reversal. Hence, dollar-cost averaging helps investors maximize profits by allowing them to buy at low points before the market becomes bullish. You lower your risk by lowering your potential downside and upside, but also allocating capital in a way where you will not only hit peaks and troughs.
Next Steps
Any crypto market condition has potential for profitability if you know how to play it right. The above strategies can help even novice crypto traders earn when the market is bearish. However, traders should note that their preferred strategy should depend on their risk tolerance and portfolio size. Traders should also learn to study the market to ensure that the chosen method will be effective at a particular time.
Ethereum 2.0 is coming soon and the question everyone wants to know is “will it cause crypto prices to crash?” This is particularly as markets around the globe are not looking great, and that includes the crypto industry. Everything has been bleeding heavily for months without a sign of stopping, as central banks keep hiking rates, global supply chains struggle, and spending and investment dry up. Stagflation is a very real possibility, and there is no telling how long it will take for us to cool down the overheated markets that have been going only up since the last recession more than ten years ago.
The aforementioned notwithstanding, active development in the blockchain space continues to march forward. Although investments might drop significantly, many builders keep on building no matter the state of the markets. As Ethereum is steadily approaching the long-awaited transition from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS), dubbed The Merge, it might be interesting to think about potential impacts of The Merge on the crypto market prices, especially in the context of a potential extended bear market.
In short, The Merge will result in Eth2.0’s Beacon chain (the coordination mechanism of the new network) merging with the current Ethereum mainnet, signifying the move to a fully PoS chain. To secure the network, enormous amounts of ETH will be staked in addition to the ETH already staked in the Beacon chain, making all of this locked ETH illiquid. Combined with the EIP-1559 upgrade, which now burns 70-80% of the fees, The Merge is expected to cause the equivalent of 3 bitcoin halvenings, dropping Ethereum’s inflation rate to 0.43% and locking up a lot of ETH, potentially reducing sell pressure by up to 90%. In addition, the PoS mechanism will reduce Ethereum’s energy consumption by up to 99.95%.
So all is looking great for Ethereum and projects building on top of it, right? Possibly. However, there is still a decent chance that, given the current market conditions, ETH’s price pump might be short-lived, and would continue to drop, bringing down a lot of other projects with it.
The Potential Impacts of The Merge
There are two possible scenarios to look at when discussing the downside impact of The Merge on crypto prices:
The external effect would be caused by Ethereum sucking out liquidity from other PoS alt-L1s and the projects built on top of them (especially if they’re EVM-compatible), as one of the more critical selling points compared to Ethereum is environmental sustainability.
Beacon chain staked ETH unlocks, extended bear market, and poor treasury management of Ethereum-backed projects could see more capitulation events as HODLers and projects sell off their ETH to stay afloat as new investments dry up and stagflation looms.
1. Ethereum Sucks Liquidity From Other PoS alt-L1’s
By offering lower gas fees, fast transactions, and relatively high throughput at the expense of decentralization and economic sustainability, many PoS chains have attracted developers, investors, and NFT ecosystems to their networks away from Ethereum. Ethereum’s high demand (=high fees), poor L1 scalability, and the concerning PoW mechanism have severely limited its growth. (https://rpdrlatino.com) Understandably, regular people simply do not want to pay exorbitant fees when minting and trading NFTs, and developing inaccessible dApps on a network that is supposedly destroying trees and warming up the planet.
The environmental argument will be completely invalid after the merge. Coupled with the enormous innovations in Ethereum’s L2 ecosystem, which have already reduced transaction fees to sub-$1 with no signs of stopping, Ethereum is set to once again become the most sought-after smart contract development platform. As post-Merge buy pressure of ETH increases and scalability improves, alt-L1’s could struggle to offer any significant unique selling points, making new projects opt to build on top of the most secure, established and decentralized smart contract chain out there.
As more and more people flock to Ethereum, established projects might also decide to migrate to the platform with the most demand and upside potential, effectively sucking out liquidity from other chains, and leaving them dry with evaporated treasuries, limited runway, and reduced demand. The strategy of subsidizing transaction fees during a bull market when funds are plentiful will likely not work when no new investments are coming in during a bear market, and an exodus of users is reducing demand and network revenues.
Of course, there is plenty of room for growth in this space, and projects existing on other chains might not find it too beneficial to move to Ethereum even though short-term liquidity issues might prove challenging.
2. Beacon Chain ETH Unlocks in Extended Bear Market Cause Mass Capitulation
The Merge will unlock a lot of ETH, resulting in a potential aggressive selling spree that might have trickle-down effects on a lot of other coins, especially those that have tight correlation with their ETH pair, are ERC-20 tokens, or have been sitting on ETH treasuries to fund their development. A lot more downside risk due to a selloff is also a very real possibility for ETH and other coins simply due to bad timing (i.e. bear market – with recession slowly creeping into our daily lives due to central banks raising interest rates, supply chain issues, energy crises etc.), the unlocked ETH might serve as a critical lifeline for those who had confidently staked their ETH during the bull market.
During the bear market, investments will be scarce, and projects that during the bull market had made the decision to not convert their treasury ETH to stablecoins are now seeing their wallets drop in value significantly, forcing them to capitulate by selling at low prices to cover their expenses.
However, it is important to note that the ETH unlocked from the ETH staked on the Beacon chain will not be immediately available right after The Merge. Rather, this feature – EIP-4895: “Beacon chain push withdrawals as operations”, will be enabled during the Shanghai upgrade. It will probably be deployed much later after The Merge, with estimates ranging from a month to 6 months. This means that any amount of potential sell-off of unlocked ETH would come with a significant delay post-Merge, at which point it’s impossible to predict where the market might be in 6-12 months and how it will behave, with contradicting bullish and bearish narratives clashing against one another in an attempt to drive price in either direction.
This option does seem a bit far-fetched, however, and no one knows how much more pain we will have to suffer before the momentum shifts towards the upside, so it’s best to be prepared for both the upside and downside, and not fall prey to only bullish narratives.
Conclusion
As outlined in the two main points, post-Merge many alt-L1 coins could face a risk of crashing even further due to risks associated with reduced liquidity in a bear market (for non-Ethereum coins), liquidity that might flow towards the Ethereum ecosystem due to its established security, track record, and newly acquired environmental sustainability.
On the other hand, ETH and other ERC-20 tokens living on Ethereum also run a risk of crashing, if the post-Merge ETH unlock from the Beacon chain results in a mass sell-off of ETH, which could crash other coins and project treasuries.
As this will be the first time the crypto industry experiences a recession or a stagflation, there is a lot of uncertainty about how low the market could go and, most importantly, how long it could stay so low. This is uncharted territory, so making comparisons with past cycles might not be particularly useful. Nations and companies will keep tightening their belts, and spending will significantly decrease across the board, leaving risk-on markets such as crypto vulnerable to a continued mass exodus to safer investments.
The crypto market, together with stock markets and the global economy in general, have been experiencing a significant drawdown for the past 6 months, leading to a confluence of factors ranging from high inflation, rate hikes, supply chain issues, energy crisis, to geopolitical instability. This combination packs a powerful punch for any risk-on markets, such as stocks and crypto, forcing retail and institutional investors to exit their capital from markets during these uncertain times.
With Bitcoin currently at $20k, down 70% from its $69k ATH, and the total altcoin marketcap being down 72% from its ATH, it is hard to deny that we’ve entered a bear market. But one question remains – is this anything like the bear market of 2018 and will it last equally as long as the previous one? Let’s dissect the situation and understand if this time is truly different, or if this is just a small bump in the road before an accelerated bull market.
Check out our video comparing the crypto bear market now (2022) and in 2018- and more importantly, how to STILL make money during this downturn:
2018 Bear Market
2017 saw the first true mass influx of retail interest into the crypto space. Bitcoin saw a rapid increase in price, everyone’s friend and grandma were kickstarting their own ICOs to attract funds, and regular companies added the blockchain keyword to their names to increase their share prices. 2017 was the wild west, as there was even less regulation than currently, and the space was rife with opportunists spawning scam projects to extract money from ignorant first-time crypto investors.
But, as with any bubble, it eventually pops. The crypto space was heavily overheated, with investors throwing money at everything that moved, doing minimal to no due diligence, just to get on the crypto hype train. Come 2018, things were starting to cool down and people were beginning to feel the pain. In less than 6 months after the peak ICO craze, over 90% of all the projects were already dead, with many more to go down with them in the rest of the 18-month long bear market.
At the peak of the market, a lot of FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt) was beginning to circulate. Fear of regulation due to the prevalence of scams, and with China/Korea considering banning cryptocurrencies, things were not looking great for the crypto space. Right around the peak of the market, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched their Bitcoin futures product, which allowed institutional investors to get their hands dirty with Bitcoin. And, naturally, they did just that. With all of the FUD circulating and the market waiting to release a lot of pressure, institutions began shorting the market, creating an enormous sell pressure that brought BTC down to $7k, which kept grinding down to $3k till mid-2019.
2022 Bear Market
After Covid-19 hit, the market experienced a tiny two-month recession. As everyone was locked inside, demand dropped and supply shrunk as well. But once central banks began printing more money to help businesses and people via stimulus checks, many found themselves with a lot of extra cash and no way to spend it, so they turned to investing. After the March crash, the rest of 2020 saw the crypto market boom, calling it the “DeFi summer”, with BTC increasing in price by 400% by the end of the year. After that, it just kept on going. 2021 was the year of the NFTs and Metaverse, i.e. GameFi, with numerous projects sprouting up to capture some of the value amid all the hype.
After reaching its peak in November 2021, the crypto market has kept on steadily grinding down. Those who had called the peak in November aptly understood that the markets were overheated, inflation was starting to get out of hand, and the only way for governments to keep that under control was to begin quantitative tightening through rate hikes. Unfortunately, many were still in denial about the onset of the bear market way into April, which has resulted in a lot of people holding bags that might or might not recover.
Now the path forward seems clear. The US Federal Reserve’s hawkish monetary policy is causing markets a lot of necessary and unavoidable pain. Because the money printing since Covid-19 has been at such an unprecedented level, the Fed is finding it hard to slow down the inflation without causing a lot of damage. The result currently is a looming recession at the same time as inflation is still running rampant and driving up the prices of everything, all the while people’s incomes are stagnating and their expenses increasing.
When is the Next Bull Cycle?
At the moment, there are no clear signs of central banks reeling in their hawkish monetary policies. It might possibly take at least several months if not until the end of the year for the dust to settle, the bottom to come in, and for us to be ready for the next bull cycle once the Fed eases monetary restrictions. Continued geopolitical turbulence aside, the next bull cycle will certainly come, but it’s difficult to say what will be the narratives driving the rapid market expansion this time.
The two most touted bull market catalysts are the long-awaited Bitcoin spot ETF and the Ethereum Merge, which will cause the Ethereum network to transition from its wasteful Proof-of-Work mechanism to Proof-of-Stake. However, as is common in life and in markets, the most obvious things tend not to be the ones to catalyze huge changes. Markets are irrational, and a confluence of new narratives that will be born only in 6 months might very well end up triggering the next bull run.
How to Still Make Money During the Crypto Bear Market?
With great pain come great opportunities, and this bear market is no exception. This is the time for learning, accumulating, and paying attention to the market. In our latest video about the current bear market, we outline a few strategies that you can use as an investor to maximize upside potential come next bull run:
1) Dollar cost averaging (DCA) into your investments – instead of trying to catch the generational bottom and investing your whole capital in one go, better invest 20% of your capital at a time during a longer time period, so that way you are more likely to get a great average entry price and reap the profits in the future.
2) Doing lots of research – fundamental analysis of projects is the best way to ensure you invest in projects that have a real potential, and this is the time to be doing just that. Many projects will die during this bear market, so it’s important to source trustworthy information and be critical of everything in order to position yourself properly during the next stage of growth.
3) Diversify your portfolio – as we’ve seen in the past months, there’s no such thing as too big to fail in the crypto space. Instead of going all-in on one project, spreading risk across several projects will ensure your capital is better protected from a few bad investments.
4) Shorting the market – this should not be practiced by anyone who doesn’t have experience trading, as without proper risk management things can get pretty ugly very fast. During a downtrend, a way to make money is by shorting an asset, which essentially means you’re betting on an asset to go down in value.
Of course, none of this is financial advice, and we implore our readers to do their own research and never invest more than they are willing to lose. It’s a highly volatile market and not for the faint of heart.
STEPN is the most popular move-to-earn blockchain game in the crypto market this year after some significant adoption by the market and big moves with other major exchanges and well-known sneaker brands.
Move-to-earn is a new way to earn money through gaming with the novelty that it rewards not only digital activity within a game or app, but also physical activity. In short, the more you move in the real world, the more you are rewarded in your digital app.
STEPN has been crushing it lately after surpassing 300K daily active users (DAUs), receiving a strategic investment from the venture capital arm of Binance, and launching a unique collection of NFT sneakers on Binance NFT marketplace in partnership with sports brand ASICS.
What is STEPN?
STEPN is a move-to-earn health and fitness app with game elements built on Solana. Users equipped with sneaker NFTs can run and walk outdoors to earn tokens and NFT rewards. The funds earned can either be used to increase earnings in the app or can be withdrawn and sold. The mobile app has a built-in wallet, swap, marketplace, and rental system that allows non-crypto users to onboard.
How does STEPN work?
Anybody can earn tokens and NFTs in STEPN by downloading an app, buying NFT sneakers, and completing various forms of exercise. Similar to how Bitcoin mining works, users in STEPN have to prove they have physically worked out, at the cost of their own time and energy. This is validated by the app’s anti-cheating mechanics using GPS and machine-learning technology.
The tokens and NFTs are then minted to users’ wallets from the people, not from the game developer FindSatoshi Lab, known for its work on cryptocurrency wallet Solwallet. In this way, people can trade their tokens and NFTs 100% peer-to-peer and over time. STEPN has created an ecosystem where the value of tokens and NFTs is based on supply and demand.
STEPN tokens: GMT and GST
There are two types of tokens available to players, GMT (total supply of 6 billion) and GST (unlimited supply). GMT is a management token that allows users to increase their income. GST is an in-game token that users receive for in-game activity.
To create a balanced token ecosystem, the developers have decided not to limit the GMT governance token earning to a small group of people. Instead, they have made GMT and GST broadly accessible to ensure balance in the mining of these two tokens.
Since many GameFi projects with a similar dual-token economy have tended not to thrive, the question is raised about whether GST, with its unlimited supply, will go into a death spiral. STEPN’s model addresses this by making GST earning irrelevant at a higher level. As people approach the higher levels, they are presented with the option to choose which token to earn, and they would naturally want to earn the limited supply of GMT.
This will get amplified over time as more GMT is burned and more GMT use cases are released. This should reduce the GST token supply enough to balance the token value. If too many people are mining GMT, they will earn less than what they can with GST, so they will switch to earning GST. This will reduce the competition for earning GMT, and, in turn, make GMT mining profitable again.
Getting started with STEPN
To get started with STEPN, you must first download the app to your smartphone via Google Play or Apple Store. Then, following the on-screen instructions, you will need to create an account and receive an activation code.
You will be able to use the app fully once you have purchased your NFT sneakers from the in-app STEPN shop. Choose your sneakers based on your abilities. Once you have purchased the sneakers, open the game and start walking or running. You will start earning immediately.
How to join STEPN: Step-by-step guide
1. Download the App
First, you have to install the app on your smartphone. Depending on the model of your phone, you can do this either from the App Store or from Google Play.
2. Create an Account
After launching the app, you will need to enter your email address, to which you will receive a registration confirmation code. Enter your email address and press the ‘Send Code’ button. A code will be sent to your email address, and you will need to enter it in the corresponding field.
3. Obtain Activation Code
You then need to obtain an app activation code. To obtain the activation code, register in the STEPN community on one of the official social networks. Choose the social network that suits you best (Twitter, Telegram, Discord, etc.) and proceed according to the on-screen prompts. An activation code can also be received from a friend via invitation or bought from another user.
Once you have received the activation code, the main app screen will open. Click on the ‘Get activation code’ button. After you have entered your activation code, the app will open and the tutorial will start. Several screens will explain to you how to use the app.
4. Create a Crypto Wallet
You then need to create a crypto wallet in the STEPN app. Click on the wallet image in the top-right corner of the app. This will start the process of creating a crypto wallet, which will take a couple of minutes. While creating the wallet, you will be shown a secret phrase that you need to write down and keep in a safe place. Once the crypto wallet has been created, you will be taken back to the main app screen.
5. Start the Game
In the top-right corner, the token column will show zeros. To start the game, you need to deposit Solana (SOL) tokens into the crypto wallet you just created, in the amount that will allow you to purchase an NFT in the form of a sneaker. SOL can be bought on almost any major CEX or DEX.
6. Buy NFT Sneakers
TIP: Before you buy sneakers in STEPN, open the app and run for 10 minutes in running mode without sneakers. This is so that you can find the right type of sneaker for you. NFT sneakers are purchased in the shop. After buying the sneakers, wait until 25% of the energy has accumulated (approximately 6 hours) and then start the game. You are now ready to move-to-earn!
Playing and Moving to Earn
STEPN currently has solo mode only, in which users receive GST tokens as a reward for moving in the real world. This consumes virtual energy at a rate of 1 unit per 5 minutes of movement. All of these processes are only triggered after the purchase of NFT trainers. If the energy is at zero, no tokens are earned.
GST tokens, and subsequently GMT, are paid out depending on the following factors:
The level and attributes of NFT sneakers – more efficient sneakers cost more. Up until Level 29, users can only earn GST, and from Level 30 onwards, they can switch to earning GMT if they wish.
Sneaker comfort parameter – the higher it is, the more tokens are earned every minute.
Running speed – it is necessary to maintain the recommended speed range for the sneaker. If you deviate too much from it, earnings will be reduced by up to 90%.
Marathon and background modes are set to be added later. Marathon mode will be an entirely new playstyle and is aimed for release towards the end of 2022. Background mode will be added when the STEPN team feels the time is right to approach non-crypto users.
The Importance of Energy
Energy plays an important role in earning tokens in STEPN. As soon as you run out of energy, your earnings will stop. Only when energy is available will your movement be rewarded. The amount of energy determines how many tokens you can earn for walking and running.
To increase the amount of energy you have, you can buy more NFT sneakers or get hold of rarer ones. The more NFT sneakers you own in your inventory, the more energy they will automatically generate. Higher levels and rarity sneakers will give you more energy.
Strengths of STEPN
One of STEPN’s biggest strengths in the current market is the successful combination and implementation of GameFi and sports. This could be seen as a clear advantage over any competition as many crypto-native builders don’t have the connections or knowledge to replicate STEPN’s GPS technology and machine-learning anti-cheating mechanics.
Because the health concept of the game and its everyday practicality is relatively simple compared to other games and apps in crypto, STEPN is a prime candidate for mainstream adoption.
Weaknesses of STEPN
There are still quite large barriers to entry for the average person. The registration process is too complicated, and to start playing, new users need to first learn how to open and fund a crypto wallet and buy an NFT item. For a newbie, this is not as straightforward as it should be.
NFTs also cost between 2.5 and 10 SOL, and way upwards of $100 if you want the best sneakers. This means there is an element of ‘pay-to-earn’ about STEPN. However, at the moment, the return on investment (ROI) is in the region of a few weeks, which is not bad at all.
Conclusion
Making money while keeping healthy is a win-win, and as a sports GameFi product, STEPN has struck a decent balance between game elements that are not too rich and complex to stop non-gamers from entering, and sports elements that are not too difficult to stop non-athletic people from trying it out.
The tokenomics also create value for both users and the platform. As long as the concept remains simple and participating remains profitable for the average user, STEPN should continue its impressive adoption rate.
For more information on STEPN, follow their official channels:
Stablecoins are under the microscope right now following the collapse of Luna and UST, the stablecoin of the Terra ecosystem.
In this article, we look at the history of stablecoins, its pros and cons, why they are needed, and what are the risks are of utilizing them.
What is a Stablecoin?
A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency that maintains a fixed value because it is backed by reserves of other assets such as fiat currencies, securities, gold or precious metals, property, or any other assets as collateral.
There are four main types of stablecoins:
Fiat-Collateralized: Fiat-backed stablecoins are backed by real-world currencies such as US Dollars or British Pounds at a 1:1 ratio.
Commodity-Backed: Backed by precious commodities like gold, platinum, or real estate.
Crypto-Backed: Backed by other cryptocurrencies which are kept as a reserve to ensure price stability in the event of price fluctuations. Smart contracts can also be coded to ensure no trust is needed in third parties.
Algorithmic: These involve adjustments in the algorithm for controlling the supply and demand of stablecoins, usually in the form of two tokens: one a stablecoin and the other a cryptocurrency that backs the stablecoin.
Cryptocurrencies are decentralized and not controlled by centralized entities such as governments or regulatory bodies. They operate on supply-and-demand principles in a free market and can be volatile in nature.
Simply put, stablecoins allow investors and traders to ‘cash out’ of risky investments into another crypto coin that will not fluctuate wildly in value during times of market volatility.
History of Stablecoins
Stablecoins actually have a very long history, having been around since 2014 with BitUSD. BitUSD was created in July 2014 backed by the $BTS token and created by Dan Larimer and Charles Hoskinson, both pioneers in the cryptocurrency who went on to create EOS and Cardano ($ADA), respectively.
However, even the world’s first stablecoin was not without its issues. In late 2018, BitUSD lost its peg to the US Dollar, resulting in huge criticism from the cryptocurrency community. BitUSD is no longer commonly used, and many cryptocurrency exchanges no longer support this stablecoin.
The next stablecoin to be launched was NuBits in September 2014 and was functional for 3 years. Eventually, this stablecoin also fell- suffering 2 major crashes during which the peg was broken for an extended period of time. The first of these crashes was in 2016 when NuBits was depegged from the US Dollar for 3 months. This was likely because holders of NuBits suddenly sold their substantial holdings for Bitcoin, resulting in NuBits being unable to handle the large volumes of sell-offs and losing its peg. Surprisingly, after the 2016 crash, the marketcap of NuBits shot up by 1,500%. This was caused by people buying millions worth of NuBits in late December 2017 owing to concerns about the stability of Bitcoin, whilst the NuBits team was unable to print new coins to keep up with the demand, thereby driving up prices.
The second, and final major crash suffered by NuBits was in March 2018 which was caused by insufficient reserves of the coin, meaning that the NuBits team were unable to protect the coin when there was a dip in demand. Of course, large cryptocurrency holders immediately noticed the drop in NuBits prices and panic sold their positions, causing an even greater slide in price.
After the second NuBits depeg, the stablecoin had lost credibility with cryptocurrency investors. Some holders even threatened legal action against the NuBits team or went into Tether ($USDT) and/or TrueUSD instead.
Tether $USDT however has also weathered a few storms of its own, facing legal battles with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which also shook the confidence of the market. The legal action was eventually settled in 2021 with the parent company of Tether paying nearly US$60 million.
Despite this, cryptocurrency keeps evolving with each passing year as new innovations that were once met with speculation and distrust eventually become trusted by the market. Today there are many other stablecoin options out there such as USD Coin (USDC), Binance USD (BUSD), MakerDAO (DAI), Paxos Standard (PAX), and Gemini Dollar (GUSD) that provide alternatives to USDT.
Pros of Stablecoins
There are several reasons and numerous benefits to using stablecoins. In general, they are simply faster, cheaper, transparent, borderless, and programmable compared to fiat currencies. Some more benefits are listed below.
Stablecoins allow a quicker and easier way for investors to enter the crypto market by bridging fiat into stablecoins, which act like fiat currencies on exchanges.
Stablecoins are more efficient than fiat because they have the digital properties of other crypto tokens and can be moved around quicker and more efficiently than fiat money.
Stablecoins can be held as capital in non-custodial wallets such as Metamask, thus removing the need for third parties to intermediate.
Stablecoins allow for quicker, immediate peer-to-peer payments abroad that are semi-anonymous with much lower fees than fiat currencies.
Stablecoins can be used for holding, trading, borrowing, and lending abroad. When fiat-related regulatory processes are involved, even better.
Stablecoins can be staked to earn a higher yield than traditional finance in DeFi applications. When adding liquidity to protocols, they also minimize the risk of impermanent loss due to their price stability.
Blockchain data and tracking allows for a more transparent view of the market, giving investors more information on liquidity flows and thus greater decision-making power.
Many sectors of the economy and the unbanked population are benefiting from the use of stablecoins in remittance, escrow, payroll, settlement, and alternative banking that is self-custodial, cutting out intermediaries.
Cons of Stablecoins
Stablecoins used to be more controversial in the earlier days of crypto but have garnered more regulatory approval in recent years, minimizing many of the negative aspects.
Stablecoins usually require trust in a third party to ensure the coins are backed by the stated assets, which also means external audits are needed to ensure assets are accounted for.
There are lower yields on stablecoins in DeFi applications than on regular cryptos, however, these yields are still significantly higher than the interest rates offered by traditional banks.
Stablecoins utilized in DeFi applications are subject to the usual risks involved with unregulated cryptocurrency projects. The TerraLuna disaster was a perfect example of an extreme worst-case scenario for an algorithmic stablecoin.
Trial and error. Due to the relative infancy of stablecoins and the experimental nature of new technologies within crypto, there is still a risk when getting involved with newer projects or protocols.
Regulatory scrutiny. As the stablecoin market keeps growing and adding billions of dollars in value to the crypto market, it will generate increased interest from authorities. This can also be seen as a positive.
Conclusion
Stablecoins and their rapid proliferation across all blockchain protocols have brought more flexibility and adoption to the cryptocurrency industry. They are now embedded in the fabric of the market and are here to stay.
The onus remains on the individual investor to do your own research (DYOR) when deciding which stablecoin to hold. Find out who created it, whether it’s a trusted centralized business or a decentralized protocol managed by smart contracts. All the options are open to you when it comes to the safer management of risk in the crypto market.
One major question all new cryptocurrency investors ask is how to actually spend their cryptocurrencies. Unfortunately, cryptocurrency is just not as widely accepted as fiat currencies. Cryptocurrencies are also subject to huge price fluctuations and volatility. Therefore, to “lock in” the price of your cryptocurrencies and as a springboard to cashing out crypto to fiat, many have converted their cryptocurrencies to stablecoins instead. This allows one to keep their dollar-pegged coins in exchanges or cold/hot wallets, so when the moment to jump back into the bull run comes, they can do so within minutes without having to deal with fiat on-ramps. Alternatively, to easily convert their stablecoins to fiat currencies for spending.
Most have considered stablecoins to be a safe means of preserving their capital without experiencing volatility and having to leave the crypto ecosystem. After all, they’re… stable, right?
In most cases, they have been, but the most recent collapse of one of the largest and well-respected stablecoins, terraUSD (UST), and other less known ones, like neutrino USD (USDN) and DEI, has led people to question the stability of all stablecoins. But is this warranted? Isn’t there a bit more nuance to the mechanisms by which a coin retains its dollar or other fiat currency peg, each with their own risks and advantages?
Although a seemingly straightforward idea, stablecoins can be quite tricky to unpack and analyze, especially when talking about non-collateralized algorithmic stablecoins, which sound too good to be true, and in some cases, are. With this in mind, let’s take a look at stablecoins, what kinds are out there, how well they are doing, and what makes them tick.
Check out our latest video- Stablecoins: Are they safe? ($UST, $USDT, $USDC, $BUSD)
Stablecoins: Are they safe? ($UST, $USDT, $USDC, $BUSD)
Stablecoins – What Are They and How Are They Different?
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that are pegged 1:1 to the value of a fiat currency, meaning that, for example, every 1 USDT (USD Tether, the biggest market cap stablecoin) is worth 1 US Dollar. There are numerous stablecoins in circulation, with different coins having different mechanisms for collateralizing their stablecoins.
The most commonly used feature to categorize stablecoins is by looking at how each of them backs their tokens, e.g. their collateral/reserves. By doing that, we can focus on using more narrow criteria for evaluating and comparing stablecoins based on the risks and advantages that stem from the chosen collateralization mechanism. Broadly speaking, there are three main types of stablecoins: Fiat-collaterized stablecoins, crypto-collaterized stablecoins and algorithmic stablecoins.
Fiat-collateralized Stablecoins
By far the most popular type, fiat-collateralized stablecoins occupy the top 3 spots (USDT, USDC, BUSD) among stablecoins by market cap, accounting for roughly 94% of the total ~$155 billion stablecoin supply.
Their working principle is the most straightforward to understand. Each of these coins is backed by a combination of real USD cash reserves, US Treasury Bills, and commercial papers (liquid short-term debt issued by companies).
Crypto-collateralized Stablecoins
Similar to fiat-backed stablecoins, crypto-backed stablecoins use cryptocurrencies as collateral, and smart contracts and, typically, governance tokens to monitor price stability. Due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, crypto-backed stablecoins are over-collateralized (150% for DAI, for example) to account for periods in the market when prices of the collateral assets keep going down. Learn more about DAI.
Compared to fiat-backed stablecoins, they’ve witnessed a much slower rate of adoption. However, based on data, it does seem that they are slowly starting to gain momentum and dominance over the past years, as people begin to develop trust in the previously experimental mechanisms, which is to be expected.
There are also hybrid collateral tokens such as Reserve Tokens (RSV) that are backed by both digital and fiat assets.
By far the most technically complex and technologically least mature, algorithmic stablecoins rely on on-chain algorithms to handle changes in supply and demand between the stablecoins and their sister tokens that back them by burning and minting them in both directions through a process called seigniorage, to maintain a dollar peg. This, however, only works while there isn’t a strong downward pressure on the peg that keeps stressing the mechanism, which can lead to a downward death spiral during which both tokens keep losing value as users keep panic selling at the same time as the algorithm tries to stabilize the price. Although not fully collapsed, neutrinoUSD and its Waves protocol have been experiencing extreme turbulence for the better part of two months, making users lose confidence in its stability, especially as its working mechanism is very similar to that of UST.
On the less extreme side of algo-stables lie hybrid stablecoins, or fractional-algorithmic stablecoins, such as FRAX, which is partly backed by collateral, and partly algorithmically by adjusting the collateral based on the deviation of FRAX from the $1 peg.
Learn more with our Ultimate Guide to Algorithmic Stablecoins:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdmotWPNVdQ
Criteria for Comparing Stablecoins
Decentralization
The impact of regional regulations can be a risk many would not find appealing. It’s completely reasonable to expect that the industry would be capable of creating largely decentralized stablecoins that are collateralized by one or more decentralized cryptocurrencies, and governed by a DAO. Such is the nature of MakerDAO and its DAI stablecoin, which has shown its peg strength throughout this year and especially during the most recent catastrophic UST collapse. There is a small caveat, however.
The largest crypto-asset backed stablecoin with a $6.5 billion market cap, DAI, is still heavily backed by the second largest market cap stablecoin, USDC, which itself is backed by fiat reserves, calling into question whether it truly is as decentralized as it purports itself to be. The reality is not as grim as it might seem. Even though USDC and USDP (another fiat-backed stablecoin) comprise 28.1% of the total DAI collateral, ETH and WBTC (Wrapped BTC) boast an impressive 58.6% collateral, tipping the collateralization balance in favour of decentralized digital currencies instead of centralized stablecoins. In addition, the Maker platform with the MKR and DAI tokens, together with all of its smart contracts, lives on the Ethereum blockchain, making it truly trustless and decentralized, even if a good portion of the collateral is not.
On the other hand, the decentralization of all stablecoins might not be necessary, or even desirable, as properly regulated stablecoins almost by definition require a legal entity or a consortium of entities with exposure to major governmental bodies (especially in the US) to be behind the stablecoins, so that there is little doubt about who is responsible for ensuring a full fiat backing of their stablecoins. However, this would imply heavy centralization of control over the stablecoin supply and the general mechanisms for issuance, governance, and, crucially, potential censorship.
A centralized stablecoin is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it gives unprecedented power over a vast supply of stablecoins that a decentralization-focused industry heavily relies on to do daily business. On the other hand, it allows for companies like Binance, who are behind the popular BUSD stablecoin, to prioritize user safety and regulatory compliance, giving users peace of mind about the safety of their assets.
Thus, a strong argument can be made to safely onboard millions of new users through reasonably regulated stablecoins. It’s important for this industry to appreciate the need to offer a wide range of stablecoin alternatives, from centralized to decentralized, for users with different risk appetites and technical competencies in order to accelerate crypto adoption worldwide.
Compliance & Transparency
Closely tied with the level of decentralization of a stablecoin, regulatory compliance and transparency are absolutely crucial for companies who are backing their coins with cash reserves, and who desire to find strong and growing support by institutions, companies, and investors looking to enter the space, but who have been apprehensive to do so due to concerns about a potential inability to redeem their tokens for dollars.
It’s important to note that regulatory compliance is largely a concern for stablecoins operated by corporations, as they are the ones operating mostly behind closed doors, with most of the details about their inner workings, decisions, and collateralization mechanisms being hidden from the end-users and legislators. In such situations, it is more than reasonable to expect a regulatory body to force at least some oversight over how exactly these companies are operating their stablecoins and whether they do possess the collateral they claim to have.
The same can’t be said about open-source, decentralized governance-powered, blockchain-native, crypto asset-backed, and over-collateralized stablecoins that are being operated completely out in the open, with every decision, piece of code, and capital relocation in smart contract escrow accounts being registered on-chain. For coins such as DAI, compliance and transparency are baked into the protocol, and it can be reasonably argued that the necessity for any kind of regulatory oversight is moot, as the community and the free market cryptoeconomic pressures have organically grown a robust and freely auditable stablecoin that’s fully backed by digital currencies.
For fiat-backed currencies, the two large-cap extremes in the range of transparency and compliance are BUSD and USDT. While BUSD has been extensively cooperating with the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYFDS), and showing that every BUSD is backed by an equivalent amount of cash, USDT has been under significant scrutiny over the past years regarding its executives and the USDT backing. These allegations, combined with the lack of transparency by Tether, have made many worry whether USDT is a house of cards about to crumble as the Chinese real estate bubble begins to pop.
Financial Sustainability
In addition to the existential risks posed by the type of collateral chosen for stablecoin reserves, another source of risk that can be analyzed for a project is its cashflow. Changes in the cashflow of a protocol can offer clues about the health of the ecosystem and its ability to withstand market shocks.
Understanding how a stablecoin protocol spends and, most importantly, earns its money, is key to making predictions about the long term sustainability of such projects. Without proper long term revenue models, protocols are left to come up with highly appealing but unsustainable practices such as incredibly high yields on stablecoin deposits (such as UST had) or very low to non-existent trading fees to make it appealing for users to use that stablecoin as their dominant medium of exchange. These kinds of practices sooner or later come back to bite them in the ass, as there is a very high probability that the high yields and low fees are paid for not from organic revenues, but rather from alternative revenue sources (as is the case for Binance), or from project’s treasury/VC investment money, in hopes that they would be able to subsidize the attractive rates for long enough to reach a critical mass of users to then eventually either lower the yields and increase the fees, or simply keep running a ponzi-like operation for as long as possible.
Risks are High, always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
If something in crypto sounds too good to be true, it very likely is. The most recent example of this was the Anchor Protocol’s 19.5% yield for UST deposits, which should’ve been a huge red flag, and yet many, many individuals chose to deposit their life savings into a supposedly stable UST in hopes of an unsustainably high APY.
For a $50 billion project to go down to virtually nothing in a matter of weeks is nothing short of astonishing, and should serve us all as a warning to do our due diligence thoroughly, and ask uncomfortable questions, even if the whole market seems to be fully on-board with a project.
As the saying goes, “Follow the money.” If a protocol is promising unbelievable returns, if the company behind a stablecoin year after year refuses to prove their fiat reserves, and if a algorithmic stablecoin seems to have a fishy peg stabilizing mechanism that can only work in an up-only environment, then you should exercise caution. And as with everything, whether it be cryptocurrencies or stocks etc, ask yourself if you have really fully done your research and never put in more money than you can afford to lose.
Bybit is a cryptocurrency exchange offering trading perpetual contracts in the cryptocurrency market. However, it’s essential to understand the rates and fees that come with using the platform. In this article, we’ll explain Bybit’s funding rates and fees and give you some tips on how to manage them.
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Bybit is a cryptocurrency exchange founded by Ben Zhou and launched in 2018. The exchange currently has over 10 million users worldwide and supports over 100 cryptocurrencies. Bybit offers the following products: spot trading, derivatives trading (including USDT/USDC perpetual contracts, USDC options, leveraged trading, inverse perps and futures), an NFT marketplace, and Bybit earn.
Bybit Funding Rate Explained
Bybit’s funding rate can be challenging to understand for new traders. However, it’s essential to know how it works to manage your trading costs effectively. In simple terms, it is a fee that traders pay or receive when holding a position overnight. If you’re holding a long position, you’ll pay a funding fee if the funding rate is positive. If you’re holding a short position, you’ll pay a funding fee if the funding rate is negative.
Bybit funding rates on perpetual contracts (Source: Bybit)
Funding Fees on Perpetual Contracts
Bybit charges a funding fee for holding positions overnight, and the fee is calculated based on the funding rate. This is calculated using the following formula:
Funding Fee = Position Value * Funding Rate
In this formula, “Position Value” is the total value of the trader’s position, and “Funding Rate” is the current funding rate. The fee is charged every eight hours, and it’s debited or credited to the trader’s account.
The Funding Rate is already stated on the screenshot, i.e. 0.0001%. The Position Value is calculated using the following formula:
Position Value=Quantity of Contract x Mark Price
For example:
Trader Bob holds a long position of 10 BTC contracts and the Mark Priceis 16,000 USDT at the end of the funding interval with a Funding Rate of 0.0001%.
To calculate the Position Value:
Position Value= 10 x 16,000 = 160,000 USDT
Now we can calculate the Funding Fee:
Funding Fee= 160,000 x 0.0001% = 0.16 USDT
Since the Funding Rate is positive (i.e. 0.0001%), long position holders have to pay short position holders. So, Trader Bob must pay 0.16 USDT to a short position trader. Meanwhile, a short position holder with the same quantity of contracts (i.e. 10 BTC) will receive 0.16 USDT.
Funding Fees on Inverse Contracts
Here’s how to calculate the funding fees on Bybit inverse contracts using the below screenshot as an example. Since the funding rate is positive, long position holders need to pay a 0.01% funding rate to short position holders.
Bybit funding fees on inverse contracts (Source: Bybit)
The funding fee is calculated using the following formulas:
Funding Fee= Position Value x Funding Rate
The Funding Rate is already stated on the screenshot, i.e. 0.01%. The Position Value is calculated using the following formula:
Position Value=Quantity of Contract / Mark Price
For example:
Trader Tom holds a long position of 10,000 BTCUSD contracts and the Mark Priceis 16,000 USD at the end of the funding interval with a Funding Rate of 0.01%.
To calculate the Position Value:
Position Value= 10,000 / 16,000 = 0.625 BTC
Now we can move on to calculate the Funding Fee:
Funding Fee= 0.625 x 0.01% = 0.0000625 BTC
Since the Funding Rate is positive (i.e. 0.01%), long position holders have to pay short position holders. So, Trader Tom must pay 0.0000625 BTC to a short position trader. Meanwhile, a short trader holding the same quantity of contracts (i.e. 10,000 BTCUSD contracts) will receive 0.0000625 BTC.
When does Bybit calculate its Funding Rates?
Bybit generally calculates its funding rates every 8 hours i.e. at 00:00 UTC, 08:00 UTC and 16:00 UTC. These are known as “funding intervals”. However, Bybit may adjust the interval depending on the live market situation. Particularly if there is a significant gap between the Last Traded Price and the Mark Price.
What are the Last Traded Price and the Mark Price on Bybit?
Bybit uses two prices to protect traders from market manipulation, also known as a Dual-price Mechanism. These are the Last Traded Price and the Mark Price. The Mark Price is used to decide when to liquidate a trader’s position and to measure their profits and losses. It is based on a global Spot price index plus a decaying funding basis rate. A trader’s position will only be liquidated if the Mark Price reaches their liquidation price. The Mark Price can be found at the bottom right-hand corner of the page.
The Mark Price can be found at the bottom right-hand corner of the page.
Bybit Mark Price as shown in yellow (Source: Bybit)
On the other hand, the Last Traded Price reflects Bybit’s current price and is always anchored to the spot price.
When do Bybit traders pay/receive the funding fee?
Traders will only pay or receive funding fees if they hold an open position at the end of every funding interval. As mentioned, this is generally at 00:00 UTC, 08:00 UTC and 16:00 UTC. However, Bybit warns users that opening/closing a position within 5 seconds before/after the funding interval does not guarantee they would be included or excluded from receiving or having to pay.
Users can see the current funding rate and when the next funding interval ends on Bybit. In the example above, the funding rate is negative. This means that short position holders will pay fees to long position holders at the end of the countdown.
The funding rate mechanism happens between traders, so Bybit doesn’t take any fees. If a user has to pay a funding fee, it is taken from their available balance. If they don’t have enough money in their balance, the fee is taken from their position margin. This can make the liquidation price of their position more likely to reach the mark price. This increases the risk of liquidation.
Bybit Funding Rate History
Bybit’s funding rate history is available here on the platform’s website. The history is crucial for traders who want to understand how the rates have changed over time and make informed trading decisions.
Mobile App
Bybit has a mobile app that you can download from Google Play or the Apple App Store. The app helps traders keep track of the latest rates and fees. It has a chart that shows the current funding rate for each contract on the platform.
Managing Bybit Funding Rates and Fees
Bybit funding rates and fees can affect how much money a trader makes. Traders need to manage these costs to make the most profit. Here are some tips on how to do that:
Watch the funding rates for the cryptocurrencies you trade. Look at the chart and past data to find patterns and make better decisions.
Be careful with your positions to lower your funding fees. Close positions before the funding interval if the rate is high or if you’re not sure about the position.
Bybit lets you trade with up to 100x leverage. This can make your profits or losses bigger. Use leverage carefully and don’t take on too much risk.
Make sure you have enough money in your account to pay the funding fees. Bybit will close your positions if you don’t have enough money to pay the fees.
How to profit with Bybit Funding Rates and Fees
Crypto funding rates are linked to the price trend of the asset. The spot market sets the rate. When the price of the cryptocurrency is going up, the rates will be higher. When crypto prices are rising, there are usually higher trading price premiums and rates. In these situations, traders who hold short positions on perpetual contracts and go long on the spot market can earn funding fees.
When crypto prices are falling, the trading price of perpetual contracts will be lower than the spot price. This will make funding rates go down. Traders who go long in the perpetual contracts market and hold short positions in the spot market during this time can receive funding fees.
On Bybit, you can check the historical and predicted rates here.
Conclusion
Bybit is a popular cryptocurrency trading platform that offers perpetual contracts on several cryptocurrencies. Traders need to understand the funding rates and fees associated with the platform to manage their costs effectively. By monitoring the rates, managing their positions, using leverage wisely, and keeping a sufficient balance, traders can maximize their profits on Bybit.
Sign up and get started today!
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
What is Bybit funding rate?
Bybit funding rate is the interest rate that traders pay or receive for holding positions overnight. It is calculated based on the difference between the funding rate index and the last traded price of the contract. Bybit charges a funding fee every eight hours for holding positions overnight.
What are Bybit funding fees?
Bybit funding fees are the fees charged for holding positions overnight. The funding fees are calculated based on the position value and the funding rate. The funding fee is debited or credited to the trader’s account based on the position they hold.
How are Bybit funding rates and fees calculated?
Bybit funding rates and fees are calculated based on the position value and the funding rate. The funding rate is determined by the difference between the funding rate index and the last traded price of the contract. The funding fee is calculated using the following formula: Funding Fee = Position Value * Funding Rate.
What is Bybit funding rate chart?
It is a chart that shows the historical funding rates for each cryptocurrency offered on the platform. Traders can use the chart to analyze the funding rates and make better-informed trading decisions.
What are some tips for managing Bybit funding rates and fees?
Traders can manage Bybit funding rates and fees by monitoring the rates, managing their positions carefully, avoiding overexposure to the market, using leverage wisely, and ensuring that they have a sufficient balance in their account to cover the funding fees.
What is the funding fee Binance?
Binance also charges a funding fee for holding positions overnight. The funding fee on Binance is calculated using the same formula as Bybit. However, the rates and fees on Binance may differ from those on Bybit.
What’s are Bitcoin Over-the-Counter (OTC) brokers?
Over-the-counter (OTC) are entities that allow the buy and sell of large quantities of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. OTCs offer more private and personalized services to institutions and high net-worth individuals who need a high degree of liquidity and privacy. The key advantage to an OTC is that they handle large trading volumes, such as trading $100,000+ USD without price slippage. OTC traders will normally quote a strike price for the entire order block with immediate execution. This is contrasted with trading on cryptocurrency exchanges where large orders will cause the price to decrease due to a lack of buy orders. OTC desks allows institutions and high net-worth individuals to buy Bitcoin without a having dedicated trading desk.
OTC offices can be either regionally located, serving local clients or global. Often major cities such as Hong Kong, Tokyo or New York have OTC brokers servicing local clients. These brokers can provide very personalized services and even in person meetups. In contrast, global OTCs such as Binance OTC handles transactions over the internet.
Traditionally in the stock market world, OTC desks facilitate trading of securities that are not listed on formal exchanges, e.g. the New York Stock Exchange.
Benefits of trading via an OTC broker
High Liquidity – Dedicated traders from OTC desks will help increase the liquidity of the overall market. This means they can handle large order blocks
Fixed Price – OTC brokers will over a quotation for the entire order block. This means orders are not affected by price slippage.
Easy Fiat Options – Brokers will have local bank accounts and can sometimes even accept cash.
Disadvantages of trading via an OTC broker
Limited range of cryptocurrencies – Often OTC brokers specialize on a few cryptocurrencies. This means unlike exchanges, they will not offer 100+ trading pairs. Instead, they will focus on the major popular cryptocurrencies that have high trading volune and interest such as Bitcoin, Ethereum or some stablecoins.
Manual trading process – Traders are executed by a human counter-party. This trading times will often be limited to regular office hours.
Large order size required – Brokers often have a minimum order size, such as $100,000 USD traded within a certain period of time.
How do OTC Brokers work
OTC desks have a network of buyers and sellers. The trades themselves are facilitated by OTC broker-dealer who will locate and negotiate directly with prospective buyers and sellers over computer networks or by phone. This is contrasted from trading over exchanges where the prices and order books are publicly available. For OTC desks, their broker-dealers will negotiate the trade price for you. Trades are also not publicly listed giving the parties privacy.
Therefore, to fully understand what is going on in the cryptocurrency markets it is important to consider what is also happening at OTC desks. This is because large transactions happen on them on a daily basis.
Bitcoin OTC vs Exchanges
The choice of whether to use a Bitcoin OTC or Exchange depends largely on the volume of orders. Big players looking to buy or sell large quantities of cryptocurrencies are better off using an OTC broker. This is because a single exchange (no matter how large) will not have the liquidity necessary to fill large order blocks. Research has shown that sell orders of US$30 million can significantly suppress the price of a cryptocurrency, hence causing slippages of 5-10%. This amount is much larger than the fees charged by OTC brokers. The second advantage of using OTCs is that they can offer to lock in a particular quotation with the option to settle at a later time. This gives people additional flexibility to move funds from banks or cold-storage (such as the Ledger Nano X).
However, depending on who you are, one upside or downside of OTCs is that they are not transparent. So while you can try to gauge whether there is a lot of trade flow through an OTC desk by reading their reports (if any), there is no way you can verify if they are being truthful or giving you the best price. On the other hand you can conduct trades privately compared to on exchanges and the price will be “locked-in” and not subject to any fluctuation between the time of agreement and the time of settlement.
How to trade Bitcoin with OTC Brokers
This guide outlines the general steps involved in trading with Over-the-Counter Brokers. Generally speaking, brokers provide similar on-boarding and trading experiences. It is important to remember all brokers will require verification of your identity, known as Know-Your-Customer (KYC) registration. On top of this, brokers will verify the source of funds to prevent money-laundering.
Summary of how crypto is traded with an OTC broker (Image credit: Genesis Block)
Time needed: 3 days
How to trade with Bitcoin OTC Brokers
Signup
Sign up to the broker via website, email, call or in-person meetup. They will usually ask about the type and quantity of cryptocurrencies you would like to sell.
Onboard
Every broker will require you to fill in onboarding documents and legal disclaimers. They will also ask you to provide various types of documentation such as a Government ID, Proof of Residence and Proof of Income.
Communicate
Once on-boarded, they will give you a communications channel. Typically this involved a messaging platform where you can request quotations for orders such as: You: “I would like to buy 100 Bitcoin” Trader: “We can offer 100 BTC at a price of $8123 USD per BTC”
Confirm trade
You can choose whether to accept the price quotation or not. If you agree, the trade is immediately confirmed and the trade will provide you with a deposit address.
Trade Complete
Once the deposit is received, the order is no fully executed and you will receive your trade
Top OTC Brokers around the world
When trading with OTC brokers, it’s important to only use trusted and regulated brokers. This is important because of the large transaction sizes involved – you don’t want to get delayed or even scammed out of a transactions. We compiled the list of the biggest OTC brokers around the world
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Bitcoin OTC in China and Hong Kong
Bitcoin OTC brokers play a very important role in China due to a government ban on cryptocurrency exchanges. In China, it’s no longer legal to operate a cryptocurrency exchange due to a legislation change in 2017. This has left large Chinese exchanges and OTC desks such as OKex, Binance, Genesis Block and Huobi operating overseas or as OTC brokers.
Currently Bitcoin OTCs brokers are legal in China. They operate by directly connecting buyers and sellers of Bitcoin. However, Chinese financial institutions such as Alibaba’s Alipay have distanced themselves from OTC transactions, stating that they will “immediately stop relevant payment services“.
There’re several reports about @Alipay being used for bitcoin transactions. To reiterate, Alipay closely monitors over-the-counter transactions to identify irregular behavior and ensure compliance with relevant regulations. If any transactions are identified as being related to bitcoin or other virtual currencies, @Alipay immediately stops the relevant payment services.
One of the biggest concerns of OTC brokers and trading is the risk of exposure to criminal funds. This is because OTC desks who do not perform proper due diligence on source of funds can come into contact with tainted coins. In a 2020 report, cryptocurrency research company Chainalysis released a report on money laundering in the exchange and OTC space. The report accused some OTC desks of illegally taking laundering funds for private clients. In order to protect yourself from such activity, ensure you are trading with legitimate brokers who have proper KYC. On top of this, never buy “discounted” Bitcoins offered on social media such as Instagram or Facebook.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Will OTC brokers accept cash?
Often OTC brokers will have a cash option – for both buying and selling Bitcoin. It’s important to remember for large quantities of cash, KYC registration is required. On top of this, proof of funds may also be requested.
Do OTC brokers require my Identity?
To comply with anti-money laundering laws, OTC brokers will require you to submit official documentation such as Identity, Proof of address, bank account statements, proof of income or proof of funds. The type of identification required however would depend on the OTC brokers own company requirements and any information as required by the laws of the relevant jurisdiction.
Is there a limit on how much cryptocurrency I can trade with an OTC?
ost OTCs do not have a maximum limit on the amount of Bitcoin you can buy or sell. Order sizes of 100 or above BTC are commonplace for these brokers. However, some brokers will have a minimum order size, such as $100,000 USD.
How do I buy Bitcoin Anonymously (Privately)?
The best way to buy Bitcoin without a record is via cash or peer-to-peer transactions. It is important to remember this contains inherent risk as you’ll need to do your own KYC and potentially offer proof of funds in the future. You should also check that your counterparty is a legitimate trader and not a scammer as there are incidents of people being robbed during these “trades”.
Are there OTCs for Altcoins?
There are OTC services for altcoins and even coins that are not yet listed on exchanges. These OTCs will function similar to a matchmaker – matching sellers and buyers of a particular asset. One such example is Silverway – an OTC deal platform and deal aggregation platform.
How do I find out the volumes handled by OTCs?
OTCs are not obliged to provide trading data such as daily volumes, prices, or order books. However, some OTCs provide annual reports or blog posts that contain aggregated volume data.
What should I look out for when choosing OTCs?
Security and legitimacy are very important with thinking of which OTC desk to trade with, especially since huge sums of money are involved. Prospective customers could for example, check if the OTC desk is registered with the relevant government authorities, ask any peers if they have traded there before and their feedback, check online reviews or social media, or even go to their physical offices to make inquiries before signing up and trading.
